Sa Records First Trade Surplus In 29 Months
Previous page 1st July 2009
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South Africa's trade balance swung to its first monthly surplus in 29 months in May, data showed on Tuesday, as the prevailing economic recession kept imports depressed.

The South African Revenue Service said the country recorded a surplus of R2 billion in May from a deficit of 1.465 billion rand in April, the first positive balance since December 2006.

Economists polled by Reuters had predicted a deficit of R2 billion, although the trade number is generally volatile and difficult to forecast.

Compared with the previous month, exports rose by 1.97 percent, mainly due to vehicles and aircraft, while imports dropped by 6.35 percent on lower machinery and original equipment.

"It's good news that we're back into surplus territory and exports have outpaced imports for once. The rand certainly firmed as a result, which is justifiable," said George Glynos, an analyst at ETM.

"The big question is whether or not this can be sustained ... Before we get too excited, we should perhaps wait a couple more months for confirmation before we start talking about a significant narrowing in the current account deficit."

A deterioration in the trade balance from a near-balance in 2004 has been a key contributor to South Africa's current account deficit, which widened to 7.0 percent of gross domestic product in the first quarter of 2009, compared to 5.8 percent in the fourth quarter.

Reuters

www.sagoodnews.co.za

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